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Vocational Choice and Development. Winter, 1997. DCG, College of Guidance Studies, Swanley. Cole Davis Does Trait and Factor theory offer hopes of a neat match between jobs that are waiting to be filled and people who want jobs? Trait factor theory can indeed offer a match between individuals and jobs. It seeks "to measure empirically those variations in personality, interests, and abilities and to relate those traits to career plans that would make a good fit." (Seligman, 1994). Neat matching is of course debatable, given the elements of self-report, usually off-job testing conditions, and unruly opportunity structures (c.f. Roberts, 1977). After describing the theory and its strengths and weaknesses, it is intended to discuss those of rival theories of career development; the careers adviser may see career or life stages, economic and interpersonal influences, and the effects of prior experience as seminal influences, competing perspectives or confounding variables. According to the strength of such attitudes, trait factor may be seen as a harmful irrelevance, a provider of tools for the eclectic practitioner, or a valuable theory in its own right: a comparative assessment may therefore clarify the strengths of trait factor's claim. None of these interpretations are ruled out by a broad definition of careers development as an unfolding process of pre- work socialisation, career choice, and transitions in relationships between individuals and work. Various forms of assessment may be used - or not - at any part of this process, in schools careers advice, further and higher education, and adult guidance, as well as part of training and development programmes and outplacement counselling. The methodological notion views psychometric testing as a supporting tool (Yost & Corbishley, 1987), with other theoretical models guiding its usage. The adoption of this or a 'harder' stance in favour of trait factor theory will be considered after an appraisal of its position is followed by its consideration alongside other theories. Psychometric testing is perhaps the flagship of trait factor theory. Whilst measures such as attainment and work samples may be more valid (in more than one sense), the reputation of trait factor tends to rise and fall with tests. The unpopularity of trait factor theory as a system of thinking may derive from its origins as a narrowly focused approach. The educational testing tradition of Binet was transferred with ever increasing rapidity to occupational selection during the demands of the world wars; in both cases, the concentration was on ability, and more particularly on general intelligence. Frank Parsons (1909), generally regarded as the first exponent of career development, was also interested in aptitudes and interests, but assumed these to be stable and relatively unchanging. His system, involving an alignment of self-knowledge of these attributes with awareness of opportunities, was developed further (e.g. Williamson, 1939), but retained a similar narrow focus until the 1950s (Seligman, 1994). The development of tests can be seen to parallel this. The Vocational Interest Blank, precursor of the Strong Interest Inventory, appeared in 1927, with personality inventories appearing in the 1930s; by the 1950s, assessment was seen as integral to careers counselling (Seligman, 1994). The trait factor theory evolved into a congruence model (Holland, 1973): people seek occupational environments which are congruent with their personalities. As well as the assumption of measured and practical significant differences between people suited to different occupations, well-adapted individuals within an occupation are seen to share psychological characteristics, individual differences should interact significantly with occupational differences, and job and person characteristics should be consistent enough to predict long term outcomes (Rounds & Tracey, 1990). Holland developed a theory of 'person- environment fit': individuals would seek out and create environments that allowed for their idiosyncrasies within a reciprocal process. His latest version (Holland, 1985) tried to incorporate socio-economic status, gender, ability and upbringing. Extensive research has supported many aspects of his theory (Yost & Corbishley, 1987; Spokane, 1985), which does seem to allow for factors outside of the purely intrapersonal. In spite of such refinements, trait factor theory became increasingly unpopular in the 1970s, described as going into 'incipient decline' (Crites, 1981) and moribund (Zytowski and Borgen, 1983). This was related to a prescriptive model of guidance, Rodger's Seven Point Plan (1952); a sustained change of attitudes to the use of psychometric tests, with concerns about the possible negative impact upon women and people from minority groups; and Mischel's anti-trait critique (1968), emphasising situational influences, part of a wider 'nature/nurture' debate. A hangover from the 1970s zeitgeist may be partly to blame for the persistence of negative attitudes within the general public, popular sociological and psychological explanations perhaps having failed to make the paradigm shift (Kuhn, 1962) back to an essentially scientific, and thus falsifiable approach (Popper, 1959). The opposition to positivistic methodologies was often a humanistic one, a parallel being the antipsychiatry of Laing (1965) and Szasz (1961). The fact that tests have continued to be evaluated in the contexts of gender and ethnic norms seems to have passed many commentators by (as has the efficacy of medication in treating mental illness). Accumulating research, however, shows that personality traits are stable in adulthood (Rounds & Tracey, 1990). Professional psychologists' criticisms diminished over the 1980s with major modifications within the field of test development via item analysis and an increased sensitivity in the creation of test norms. More informed criticism of applied trait factor theory centres around the role of the psychometric test user (Anastasi, 1992). Tyler (1984) points out the limitations of tests, but his main points relate to 'test and tell', a lack of background information or context, essentially a matter of practitioner support. A major survey of American psychologists and educationalists found that the worst problem within schools was the "misinterpretation of and over-reliance on test scores" (Snyderman & Rothman, 1987). The problem here would appear to be the continuance of a narrow popular notion of trait factor theory, even when this is a favourable one. In Britain, more negative general impressions, or disregard, would appear to be the case. Almost all interviews observed by the writer on work experience placement contained an estimate of clients' abilities, often teachers' predictions, in order to consider the realism of proposed career and training decisions. No practitioners claimed to be influenced by trait factor, however, and payment rather than need determined the use of tests. Computer aided guidance - essentially interest inventories with chips - were at times used, but often without support. This rough and ready approach is an indication of the theory's standing rather than its efficacy. "Correlational studies consistently show significant, positive relationships between congruence and academic performance and persistence, job satisfaction, stability of choice, perceived congruence, and personality, but nonsignificant relationships between congruence and self-concept or sociability." (Spokane 1985) This indicates a high degree of validity in relation to matching people with jobs. Arguably, self-concept and sociability should not be expected to correlate with congruence. Alternatively, trait factor theory is still in need of modification. A third argument is that we should expect and desire a difference between self-concept and congruence if tests are indeed of greater value than subjective impressions. If, however, these are considered to be true deficits, self-awareness often being a stated objective guidance, then such qualities may be found amongst alternative theories. An early application of the developmental perspective to careers was that of Ginzberg et al (1951). Derived from Buehler's life stage schema (1933), this is generally regarded as an incomplete approach to the developmental concept, descriptive rather than analytical, made with small samples, mainly affluent middle class males (Yost & Corbishley, 1987). Super (1957;1981) also adopts a stage theory, derived from the work of Erikson (1959). Individuals match their self-concepts against their pictures of known occupations within stages of Growth, Exploration, Establishment, Maintenance and Decline. In his 'Life-Career Rainbow' (1980), Super attempts to bring in the variety of roles assumed by individuals in their lifetimes, as well as a variety of personal and situational determinants. Such complexity is unlikely to be of practical use (Yost & Corbishley, 1987). Super's self-concept theory also appears to be of greater applicability to able young people than to others (Kidd, 1984a). Other developmental formulations derived from a study entitled 'The Seasons of a Man's Life' (Levinson et al, 1978) and from the career development perspective of Edgar Schein (1978), in which he produced another notion of self-concept, the 'career anchor'. For the purposes of examining the research evidence, the developmental theories will be considered as a single body. An a priori criticism of developmental theories, that they are inclined to predict a nomothetic and even self-perpetuating set of milestones, is supported by the research. There is very little support for the ideas of adolescent turmoil, stress and identity crises (Coleman, 1992). As mentioned before, personality traits would appear to be relatively stable in adulthood and may tend to transcend proposed developmental stages. The careers of women are also likely to differ from expected developmental norms through different marriage and childbearing arrangements and ages (Gallos, 1989; Sekaran & Hall, 1989). Developmental theories may, therefore, be either over prescriptive or too affected by individual circumstances to be of practical use in systematic assessment or guidance. The writer saw few applications; such as they were tended to be practitioners' reflections on diverse ethnic family pressures. Whilst theories such as Holland's may not devote much time to describing the processes leading to occupational preferences, they could be described as presenting a snapshot of individuals at particular times, giving insight into current preferences, with more enduring measures of personality, intelligence and aptitudes. Rather than being the servant of developmental models, doing the technological donkey work, test users are more likely to consider broad developmental bands in assisting interpretation of more tangible analyses. At their strongest, developmental theories may justify the use of testing by providing a context. Gottfredson (1981), for example, recommends the use of psychometric tests with adolescents because they "often have difficulty figuring out what they like and what they can do, which makes it difficult for some of them to decide which occupation to pursue ..." Similarly, mature people may find ability tests of use, assuming that schooling was not representative of ability, or that a particular ability or aptitude has remained untested. Other developmental models include themes of organisational adjustment or socialisation (Nicholson, 1984; Van Maanen and Schein, 1979) and Schein's career anchors, self-perceived abilities, motivation and attitudes. A variety of inventories are devoted to this sort of developmental work. Before leaving the area of developmental theories, a short note should be made of a related area, that of psychodynamically based theories. Based upon the needs based motivation theory of Maslow (1954), Roe (1956) designed a model describing a basic orientation to or away from people, later modified in the area of early parent-child relations. There has been little empirical support for her views (Osipow, 1973). In parallel, the psychological tests most akin to this area, T.A.T. and Rorschach, are not psychometric tests in the sense of containing objective measures, are not part of the trait factor model given their individual-based approach, and are not supported by validity studies. Another perspective which may be seen to have relevance to the matching of people with jobs is that which considers the social environment to be crucial. Ken Roberts (1977) may consider the individual's viewpoint to be largely irrelevant in any analysis of transition, social stratification being the main variable. Law (1981) focuses upon the local community in his community interaction theory; the central feature of his analysis is the process of negotiation of 'possible future selves' which should be explored with young people (Kidd & Killeen, 1992). An independent study by Kidd (1984b) tended to support Law's model: all but one of the pupils interviewed mentioned friends, relatives or teachers as influential in one way or another. Out of Law's proposed modes of influence, feedback, support, modelling, information and expectations, the latter was not supported by Kidd. Kidd's study acknowledged the small part played by careers teachers and careers officers in the pupils' thinking about work. That one is 'up against it' is not an argument for giving up. Given the often poor guidance available, it is necessary for guidance professionals to provide the best services available in order to influence the local community. A variety of test facilities, computer-aided or otherwise, may enable the careers services to retain some prestige. They also help people to recognise their qualities and potential. Whilst socioeconomic factors are very likely to affect the level of employment sought, they still do not account for preferences, the meat of interest inventories. In any event, discounting individuals' aspirations or potential because of their background - merely on the grounds of reduced chances of success - forms a further barrier. If the multifarious commentators on future labour market needs are correct, individuals may need transferable skills to cope with a number of different careers. As well as 'readiness and ability constantly to reassess expectations', individuals and their employers are increasingly likely to want to assess the aptitudes, personality attributes, and values which may lead to better 'fit' with some types of job and work environment than with others. Krumboltz (1976) produced a social learning theory of career selection. A combination of genetic endowment, environmental conditions, individual learning and self-observation against standards produces a dynamic interaction in which various personal attributes are capable of altering "at any point in life" (Yost & Corbishley, 1987). Apart from the evidence that personality tends to be relatively stable over time, such a theory is not particularly practical without measurement. Gauging anything but distilled products of the above interactions is likely to be unrealistic. When personal history has been taken into account - and this is relevant for diagnosis and for interpretation and feedback - one is left with the qualities which make up the individual as he or she is at the present time. Trait factor theory, in one of its manifestations, provides this illuminating snapshot. Walsh (1990) considers failing to use tests as a disservice to clients; whilst not providing a ready-made identity, they can clarify and illuminate the view of self (integral to some of the aforementioned theories). In any event, the scientific support for the more recent manifestations of trait factor theory is encouraging, even if public expectations, funding policy and practitioner skills require adjustments. Given the strengths of trait factor theory, and the lack of empirical support for most theories of vocational choice and development with obvious practical application, it seems reasonable to consider it as a major theory in its own right rather than merely as the source of supporting instrumentation. It could further be argued that other theories should be used to support trait factor as sources of interpretive information. Trait factor theory is not able to produce a 'perfect match' between people and jobs, given the plethora of variables involved. 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